All eyes are on the four big upcoming central bank meetings, which kick start this week. While last week’s rate hikes in Australia and Canada increase the possibility that the Federal Reserve might follow suit this week, Kristina Hooper believes the Fed will conditionally pause.

Why conditional pauses

·     Conditional pauses can be powerful tools. They allow central banks to take a breather and give their respective economies time to digest previous rate hikes without being viewed as dovish.

·     A pause can give central banks the time to analyze data and be thoughtful about policy going forward. At the same time, central banks recognize the danger of inflation becoming entrenched.

·     Conditional pauses carry with them the power to reinstitute rate hikes if needed. They send the message that rate hikes may not be over and that central banks are being vigilant about the risks of inflation.

Examples of conditional pauses

·     Last week was a momentous one, as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and Bank of Canada (BOC) both decided to hike rates after enacting conditional pauses.

·     It made sense that these pauses were conditional given the dramatic number of rate hikes in a relatively brief period of time, but also given very real concerns about the stickiness of services inflation.

·     I found the BOC decision to hike its policy rate to 4.75%, a 22-year high, to be particularly important since Canada has been something of a first mover when it comes to monetary policy.

·     The last CPI print showed higher inflation than expected – Canada’s first monthly increase in 10 months.

The four big upcoming central bank meetings

Gold on Your Mind? Pros And Cons of Investing in Physical Gold

Gold is not only an attractive investment in the case of market stress but also Indians use gold auspiciously and consider it a sign of wealth. To put it into perspective, India is the second largest consumer of gold worldwide, followed by China. In India, gold is majorly used by the household, and its demand skyrockets during the festivals like Diwali and AkshayaTritiya and occasions like weddings.

However, it is wrong to say that gold can be purchased only in its physical form. People can also invest in gold through gold ETFs, gold funds, and sovereign gold bonds issued by the RBI.

When we talk about investing, diversification is an essential part of investing strategy if you are willing to optimize your portfolio by minimizing the risks and maximizing the average returns. Gold might be a better option during market stress, as it is a tangible asset. But it doesn't mean you can blindly put all your hard-earned money into gold without investigating all the other aspects of investment, making comparisons, and analyzing your requirements.

Let's discuss the pros and cons of physical gold investment.

Pros of investing in physical gold

Hedge against inflation

Gold holds the tangible value of the precious metal, which only rises over time if you look at the historical data. When inflation increases, the purchasing power of individuals decreases. If you have cash in your hand, it will decrease the value over time. On the other hand, when we talk about different types of investments, like investing in the stock market, it also goes down as individuals start selling their shares out of fear.

Protection during market stress

It is not necessarily true, but when the market is under stress, and the economic condition is not looking good enough to sustain, gold prices may increase as everyone preferably invests in gold. The price of gold is positively correlated with the increase in customers' negative expectations, but it is not always true.

Availability

There is no shortage of market availability for physical gold. You can buy them from any jeweler. However, it is necessary to ascertain the quality of gold you buy from your jeweler. You must be aware of fraud. You can just go and buy gold either in the form of jewelry or bars. You must keep one thing in your mind when you purchase jewelry. You have to pay to make charges additionally.

Cons of investing in physical gold

Storage problem

Your home is not the best place to keep your physical gold. It will help if you keep your physical gold in banks or any other service that keeps your valuables safe in exchange for an annual charge. It is important to understand the risk of theft will always be a concern for physical gold.

No passive income opportunity

If you are looking forward to having a passive income from your investments, there are better options than investing in gold. Rental income, interest, dividends, etc., are examples of passive income, which is not possible when you invest in physical gold. You will get the value of gold after selling it.

Low resale value in the local market

If you buy pieces of jewelry as an investment, you will get only 90-95% or less of the current market value of your physical gold jeweler. Moreover, only some jewelers will be willing to exchange your gold for money. Isn't it annoying enough? It might save the value of your money, saving you from market stress, but you need to remember that pieces of jewelry will not add value to your asset allocation.

A gold market correction can hurt investors.

Investors, when selling their shares due to panic, have observed that they start to buy gold at premium prices. Investors start buying shares of fundamentally strong companies when the stock market recovers then gold prices go down. Such a panicky decision might hurt the investors.

Conclusion

Gold appears to be a good hedge and safe investment against inflation if you have the knowledge and financial expertise. Whether you are looking to invest in physical gold bars or just starting out investing in general, you should ensure that you understand the risks before you get heavily involved. 

This blog is purely for educational purposes and not to be treated as personal advice. Mutual funds are subject to market risks, read all scheme-related documents carefully.

Why Should You Plan for Your Child’s Education?

Saving and planning for your child's education can be a daunting task for many parents. The level of responsibility and the amount of money that one has to save and invest requires a lot of wisdom and knowledge. This blog will look at the need to have a financial plan for your child's education and some easy steps.

If you think that there is enough time to plan for your children's education, think again. The best and first step you need to follow if you want your child's dreams to become a reality is to invest in their education ASAP.

Don’t trust us? Let us look at the figures.

Let us assume you would like it if your daughter does an MBA from a prestigious college in the US. She is too young to understand, but you want to be prepared.

To help you understand the importance of early investing, let us consider two scenarios. In the first scenario, you invest when she is three years old, and on the other hand, you invest when she is ten years old. If we assume that she might want to pursue an MBA at the age of 21, then considering an inflation rate of 5%, you will need to accumulate Rs.2.41 crore and Rs. 1.71 crore respectively.

However, you will require a monthly SIP of around Rs.31,000 when she is three and almost the double SIP amount if you invest when she is 10 years. This is the power of compounding. The sooner you invest, the better.

Now that you understand the necessity of child education planning, let us go over some basics that will assist you in deciding about your child's education.

Know how much time you have

Calculate your child's graduation year and post-graduate years. You can determine the time horizon by estimating the number of years.

Figure out the total education cost

The first step is to determine the overall cost of your child's education. This depends on several things, such as whether your child wants to have a global education or prefers to study somewhere closer to home and the discipline that your child likes.

Know where you financially stand

To get a sense of where you are today and how to plan for the future, make a note of all of your assets and liabilities. This can assist you in making better plans. While preparing for your child's education, keep in mind that you should avoid dipping into your investments for other financial goals, particularly your retirement fund.

You should also avoid using funds set aside for your child's education for non-educational purposes, such as house renovations.

Decide how much you need to save/invest

Once you know how much college will cost, you can plan accordingly. Decide how much you need to save right now or how much of a monthly contribution you'll need to meet this goal by the required time.

One simple way is to start a Systematic Investment Plan in a mutual fund and make regular contributions for your child’s education plans.

To make a more significant contribution, you can eliminate unnecessary items from the budget or look for an additional source of income.

Asset allocation and rebalancing

Asset allocation is the breakup of the different assets, such as equities and debt in a portfolio. Proper asset allocation and investing are the smartest way to invest as per the time horizon and risk profile.

You need to make sure that the asset allocation will help to achieve your child's dreams.

If your investment horizon exceeds five years, consider investing in equity funds, which have the potential to deliver higher long-term returns.

Rebalance your investment portfolio gradually towards fixed income or debt as you get closer to your goal.

A well-thought-out asset allocation boosts your portfolio's returns. It can also operate as a shield, protecting your invested amount during times of market volatility.

Conclusion:

If you are a parent or plan to raise a child, you shouldn’t delay investing in their education. With the rising education costs and volatility in the job market, quality education has become imperative. So, start planning for your kid's future today and make their dreams a reality.    

Bond Funds That Play “Duration” For Capital Appreciation

Dynamic, meaning it can change according to your requirements. But, you might be wondering how such a word can apply in the context of investments.

Before understanding Dynamic Bond Funds’, we need to know about Dynamic Mutual Funds.

A dynamic mutual fund is a mutual fund that is dynamic in nature. It means that the fund manager can change the fund’s underlying instruments, such as stocks and bonds, to align with the current and future expectations of the fund. 

The objective of this fund is to deliver optimum returns in falling and rising market cycles. Unlike a regular fund that looks to buy and hold the instruments for the long run, a dynamic fund aims to make the best out of the current market situation.

What are the Dynamic Bond Funds?

Dynamic bond funds are debt mutual funds that invest in debt or fixed-income securities such as government and corporate bonds. These funds are always open to investment and redemption.

The fund managers invest for different lengths of time depending on how they think interest rates will change.

Most of the time, dynamic bond funds are riskier than short- and medium-term bond funds. Still, they have the potential to give better returns in different interest rate scenarios and for long enough periods.

How do Dynamic Bond Funds work?

The Macaulay duration is the average weighted term to maturity of a fixed-income security’s cash flows. Macaulay Duration is, in simple terms, the weighted average number of years an investor must hold a position in a fixed-income instrument until the present value of the cash flows from the fixed income instrument equals the amount paid for the instrument. Macaulay duration is similar to another measure of duration called Modified Duration, often called Duration. Modified Duration is the change in the price of a bond for every 1% change in the interest rate. In other words, Modified Duration measures how sensitive fixed-income security is to changes in interest rates.

Dynamic bond funds can put their money in bonds with different maturities. The duration of a Dynamic Bond will depend on the types of securities the fund manager chooses to buy based on how they think interest rates will change in the future. If the fund manager thinks that interest rates will go down in the future, they will put money into bonds with a longer term (longer duration) to make money from the price going up. If the fund manager thinks that interest rates will go up in the future, they will buy shorter-term bonds to lower the risk of interest rate changes and re-invest the money from the bonds when they mature at higher interest rates.

How do Dynamic Bond Funds help in capital appreciation?

Dynamic asset allocation: Dynamic bond funds can invest in securities with a wide range of investment durations. In contrast to other debt funds, they are not subject to any investing mandates. They are not limited in their ability to invest in either short- or long-term securities. Their dynamic asset allocation also enables them to profit from changes in interest rates. They can buy long-duration securities in the event of lowering interest rates. They may invest in short-term securities in the event of rising interest rates. 

No debt fund requirement: Dynamic funds don’t have to follow an investing mandate like other debt funds. For instance, only short-term securities may be purchased by short-term bond funds. Dynamic bond funds, on the other hand, are not subject to this limitation. They can also make a one-month investment in long-term securities. Interest rate changes are the center of the overall approach.

Advantages: Tax on Long Term Capital Gains(when debt fund remains invested for a period of 36 months or more) is taxed at 20% after allowing indexation benefits, thus leading to a huge reduction in taxable income and saving a large chunk of income tax.

Ideal for: These funds are ideal for investors who don’t want to actively take calls in making a decision based on interest rate movements.

This blog is purely for educational purposes and not to be treated as personal advice. Mutual funds are subject to market risks, read all scheme-related documents carefully.